Uefa Youth League 1/32
Global 2-4
Málaga U19 vs Midtjylland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
58.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 0
REA
90%
8%
2%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 5
MAL
9%
16%
75%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
5 - 0
NIT
15%
19%
65%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +5 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 0
RCR
89%
8%
3%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
S,E
2 - 1
MAL
9%
17%
73%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Midtjylland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MID
6 - 2
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
AAL
1 - 2
MID
22%
24%
55%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
MID
3 - 1
AND
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MID
3 - 0
LYN
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
AND
0 - 0
MID
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |