Málaga U19 vs Algeciras CF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
6º
4º
17
12º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
82 | 82 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
76.5% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SÉN
0 - 1
MAL
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAL
3 - 0
CDV
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
MAL
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAL
2 - 1
CDS
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
UDT
0 - 3
MAL
70%
19%
11%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Algeciras CF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
3 - 5
CAL
27%
22%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CFR
3 - 2
ALG
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
0 - 2
UDM
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SEV
1 - 0
ALG
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALG
4 - 2
CDC
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |