Malacateco vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
5º
5º
16
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
COA
54%
25%
20%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
COB
1 - 3
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
CHI
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COB
2 - 0
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACH
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
XIN
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
XIN
2 - 2
COA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
XIN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 0
GUA
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
XIN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |