Malacateco vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
HAL
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 0
TOR
36%
26%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
VEN
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
ESC
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VEN
4 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
7 - 0
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
LEO
38%
28%
33%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |