Malacateco vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
IZT
2 - 0
TOR
42%
25%
32%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 2
COA
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 2
TOR
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
TOR
0 - 1
ESC
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 2
TOR
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NUE
3 - 2
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
NUE
3 - 2
SPD
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
IZT
4 - 2
NUE
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 2
COA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
NUE
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |