Malacateco vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ESC
0 - 2
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 3
TOR
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 2
IZT
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
TOR
1 - 1
ZAC
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
COM
1 - 0
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NUE
3 - 1
MIX
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
IZT
1 - 0
NUE
64%
20%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
NUE
0 - 1
AUR
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |