Malacateco vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
5º
5º
19
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 2
ACH
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ANT
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUN
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
XIN
0 - 0
MIX
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
COB
2 - 2
MIX
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 0
COA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MIX
2 - 1
COM
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 2
MIX
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |