Malacateco vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COB
1 - 0
TOR
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 0
MUN
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOR
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
TOR
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
VEN
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
COB
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |