Malacateco vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
VEN
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
IZT
3 - 0
TOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HER
5 - 0
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
HAL
46%
25%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
COA
3 - 0
LEO
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 4
VEN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
IZT
2 - 1
LEO
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |