Malacateco vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
TOR
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 1
VEN
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
RET
0 - 1
TOR
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 1
CON
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 0
HER
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
CON
52%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
COM
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HAL
4 - 1
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |