Malacateco vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
5º
5º
11
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
COB
1 - 3
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
CHI
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COB
2 - 0
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACH
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
XIN
2 - 2
COA
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ZAC
5 - 0
COA
33%
23%
44%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
COA
3 - 1
ZAC
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
COA
5 - 0
VEN
43%
23%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 2
COA
47%
22%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |