Malacateco vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
TOR
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
NUE
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ESC
0 - 2
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 3
TOR
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 2
IZT
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
COA
2 - 0
MIX
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
IZT
3 - 3
COA
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
COA
3 - 2
AUR
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ANT
0 - 0
COA
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
COA
3 - 5
SPD
54%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |