Makedonija GP vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
9º
5º
0
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MAK
2 - 2
LOK
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
4 - 0
MAK
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 0
CSK
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
MAK
2 - 3
SBU
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
CSM
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
FKB
1 - 5
REN
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
FKS
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TIK
0 - 1
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
REN
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 0
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |