Makedonija GP vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
11º
64
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VOK
2 - 1
MAK
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 0
AKP
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
MAK
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAK
3 - 0
GOS
57%
24%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAK
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
SIL
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
45%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
FCS
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VOK
0 - 1
FCS
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
RAB
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |