Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Mairena vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 2
AYA
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SRO
0 - 2
MAI
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 0
COR
38%
25%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SEV
2 - 1
MAI
46%
27%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 2
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
RON
0 - 3
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
25%
26%
50%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |