Mairena vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
MAI
49%
27%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 0
BAL
27%
26%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAI
23%
28%
49%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 1
POZ
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
JER
1 - 2
BAL
17%
25%
58%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
JER
25%
26%
49%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
JER
0 - 3
POZ
29%
27%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
JER
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
JER
1 - 2
PAL
39%
28%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |