Mairena vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAI
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAI
46%
27%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 2
AYA
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SRO
0 - 2
MAI
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
CRD
20%
25%
55%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |