Mairena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
UTR
2 - 1
MAI
57%
25%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
MAI
1 - 0
COR
40%
28%
33%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
IMP
3 - 0
MAI
36%
30%
34%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
MAI
2 - 0
CCF
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
ARC
0 - 2
MAI
28%
31%
41%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
SFE
2 - 2
POZ
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
SAN
3 - 1
SFE
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
SFE
1 - 0
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
PIL
3 - 0
SFE
54%
25%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SFE
1 - 0
MOG
67%
20%
13%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |