Mairena vs La Barrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LCF
5 - 0
MAI
60%
22%
18%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 0
CDL
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
2 - 0
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAI
3 - 1
PEN
78%
16%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ADS
4 - 2
MAI
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
NER
39%
24%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
4 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
ESP
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PIL
0 - 3
BAR
30%
25%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
CDP
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |