Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
HAN
3 - 2
M05
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
M05
0 - 3
MON
28%
24%
49%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
STG
1 - 2
M05
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
M05
3 - 1
STU
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 2
M05
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
STU
1 - 0
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2018 |
STU
5 - 2
OOS
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
STU
2 - 1
TWE
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
M05
3 - 1
STU
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
STU
0 - 1
BYM
7%
14%
79%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |