Mainz 05 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
M05
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
M05
2 - 0
ERZ
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
M05
3 - 0
HOF
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LEV
2 - 2
M05
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
M05
1 - 0
F95
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FCN
1 - 0
WOL
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
S04
1 - 0
FCN
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCN
0 - 0
AUG
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SCF
3 - 0
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FCN
0 - 2
STU
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |