Mainz 05 vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
COT
0 - 3
M05
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 1
M05
20%
22%
58%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
M05
3 - 0
LAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
M05
1 - 5
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
M05
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
UNT
2 - 1
ING
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
RBL
2 - 0
ING
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ING
1 - 0
CEL
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
ZBR
0 - 2
ING
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 0
ING
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |