Mainz 05 vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
SVS
2 - 1
M05
41%
25%
33%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
M05
0 - 0
UNT
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1996 |
MEP
5 - 4
M05
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1996 |
M05
2 - 2
EIN
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
WAL
2 - 2
M05
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1996 |
CZJ
2 - 2
KFC
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1996 |
CZJ
1 - 1
KÖL
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SVS
1 - 2
CZJ
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
CZJ
1 - 1
UNT
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1996 |
MEP
0 - 0
CZJ
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |