Mainz 05 vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
UNT
0 - 0
M05
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
M05
2 - 2
WOL
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
WAT
2 - 1
M05
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
M05
2 - 0
KÖL
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
FCN
1 - 2
M05
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ARB
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
CHE
3 - 0
CZJ
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
CZJ
0 - 0
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
CZJ
1 - 0
UNT
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
WOL
1 - 1
CZJ
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |