Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
TUS
0 - 2
M05
3%
10%
87%
|
82 | 40 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 1
M05
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
M05
1 - 0
STU
37%
25%
39%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 3
M05
15%
21%
64%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 2
M05
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AUG
1 - 1
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
F95
1 - 2
AUG
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
STE
1 - 2
AUG
7%
16%
76%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
AUG
0 - 1
ATH
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 1
AUG
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |