Mainz 05 vs Bayern München analysis

Mainz 05 Bayern München
85 ELO 95
-5.9% Tilt 14.1%
41º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
5%
Mainz 05
11.4%
Draw
83.6%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
Mainz 05
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
83.5%
Win probability
Bayern München
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05
+3%
-2%
Bayern München

Points and table prediction

Mainz 05
Their league position
Bayern München
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
12º
71
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
71
100%
B. Dortmund
71
71
100%
RB Leipzig
66
66
100%
Union Berlin
62
62
100%
SC Freiburg
59
59
100%
B. Leverkusen
50
50
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50
50
0%
Wolfsburg
49
49
100%
Mainz 05
46
46
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Köln
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Hoffenheim
12º
36
36
12º
0%
Werder Bremen
13º
36
36
13º
0%
VfL Bochum
14º
35
35
14º
100%
FC Augsburg
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Stuttgart
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Schalke 04
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Hertha BSC
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mainz 05
Bayern München
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mainz 05
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
36%
25%
39%
84 82 2 0
08 Apr. 2023
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
47%
24%
30%
84 80 4 0
01 Apr. 2023
RBL
RB Leipzig
0 - 3
Mainz 05
M05
65%
20%
15%
83 90 7 +1
19 Mar. 2023
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
SC Freiburg
SCF
30%
25%
46%
84 87 3 -1
11 Mar. 2023
HER
Hertha BSC
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
28%
24%
48%
84 78 6 0

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2023
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
38%
24%
39%
95 97 2 0
15 Apr. 2023
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
84%
11%
5%
95 83 12 0
11 Apr. 2023
MAC
Manchester City
3 - 0
Bayern München
BYM
51%
20%
29%
95 97 2 0
08 Apr. 2023
SCF
SC Freiburg
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
7%
13%
81%
95 87 8 0
04 Apr. 2023
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 2
SC Freiburg
SCF
85%
11%
5%
96 86 10 -1