Mainz 05 vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
88.4%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20%
0-4
11%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
14.5%
0-5
6.8%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
-5
8.6%
0-6
3.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
WOL
5 - 0
M05
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
M05
0 - 0
STU
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KOL
3 - 2
M05
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 1
M05
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
M05
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
3 - 1
BVB
69%
17%
14%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 3
BYM
2%
8%
90%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 0
AUG
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
BYM
11%
15%
74%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |