Mainz 05 vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
83.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MON
4 - 0
M05
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
EDD
0 - 4
M05
1%
4%
95%
|
81 | 29 | 52 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
M05
0 - 0
HER
29%
25%
45%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
S04
1 - 0
M05
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
M05
0 - 0
WOL
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 2
BYM
14%
18%
68%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 3
BYM
7%
14%
79%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BYM
0 - 3
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
BYM
1 - 1
AJA
73%
16%
10%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
HER
2 - 0
BYM
7%
13%
80%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | -1 |