Mainz 05 vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
FCN
1 - 1
M05
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
M05
1 - 1
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
COT
2 - 0
M05
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SAA
1 - 0
M05
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
M05
1 - 1
EIN
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
AAA
2 - 1
BOC
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BYM
2 - 1
AAA
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
AAA
4 - 2
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
AAA
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
HAN
0 - 3
AAA
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |