Mainz 05 vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 1
M05
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 0
M05
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
M05
1 - 1
SSV
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
UNT
1 - 1
M05
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
M05
3 - 1
LUB
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
AAA
2 - 1
BYM
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
AAA
0 - 1
WAC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
AAA
3 - 2
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
AAA
0 - 0
KSC
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
RWA
0 - 0
AAA
34%
24%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |