Mainz 05 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
SAA
1 - 4
M05
13%
19%
68%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
BAY
0 - 4
M05
7%
16%
77%
|
94 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
M05
2 - 2
LEV
13%
20%
67%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BOC
1 - 4
M05
21%
23%
56%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
M05
1 - 1
EIN
27%
24%
49%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
KÖL
2 - 2
KOL
12%
18%
70%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BER
1 - 7
KOL
10%
17%
73%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KOL
4 - 0
KAI
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
FCN
1 - 2
KOL
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 1
SSV
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |