Mainz 05 vs Köln analysis

Mainz 05 Köln
94 ELO 90
-12.7% Tilt 16.6%
41º General ELO ranking 85º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
50.2%
Mainz 05
24.5%
Draw
25.3%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
Mainz 05
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
Köln
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05
+3%
-3%
Köln

ELO progression

Mainz 05
Köln
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2025
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
1 - 4
Mainz 05
M05
13%
19%
68%
94 83 11 0
11 Jul. 2025
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
0 - 4
Mainz 05
M05
7%
16%
77%
94 57 37 0
17 May. 2025
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen
LEV
13%
20%
67%
94 100 6 0
10 May. 2025
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 4
Mainz 05
M05
21%
23%
56%
94 87 7 0
04 May. 2025
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
27%
24%
49%
94 96 2 0

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2025
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 2
Köln
KOL
12%
18%
69%
90 66 24 0
12 Jul. 2025
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
1 - 7
Köln
KOL
10%
17%
73%
90 55 35 0
18 May. 2025
KOL
Köln
4 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
54%
23%
23%
90 85 5 0
09 May. 2025
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 2
Köln
KOL
22%
23%
55%
90 81 9 0
03 May. 2025
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
66%
20%
14%
90 75 15 0