Mainz 05 vs Köln analysis

Mainz 05 Köln
87 ELO 85
-10.8% Tilt 11.2%
41º General ELO ranking 85º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
41.1%
Mainz 05
25.1%
Draw
33.8%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
Mainz 05
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.8%
Win probability
Köln
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05
+3%
-3%
Köln

Points and table prediction

Mainz 05
Their league position
Köln
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
12º
18º
13º
27
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
B. Leverkusen
90
90
100%
Stuttgart
73
73
100%
Bayern München
72
72
100%
RB Leipzig
65
65
100%
B. Dortmund
63
63
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt
47
47
100%
Hoffenheim
46
46
100%
Heidenheim
42
42
0%
Werder Bremen
42
42
0%
SC Freiburg
10º
42
42
10º
100%
FC Augsburg
11º
39
39
11º
100%
Wolfsburg
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Mainz 05
13º
35
35
13º
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Union Berlin
15º
33
33
15º
0%
VfL Bochum
16º
33
33
16º
0%
Köln
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Darmstadt 98
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mainz 05
Köln
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Mainz 05
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
SCF
SC Freiburg
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
55%
23%
23%
86 90 4 0
13 Apr. 2024
M05
Mainz 05
4 - 1
Hoffenheim
HOF
31%
25%
44%
86 87 1 0
06 Apr. 2024
M05
Mainz 05
4 - 0
Darmstadt 98
DAR
49%
25%
27%
86 80 6 0
30 Mar. 2024
RBL
RB Leipzig
0 - 0
Mainz 05
M05
74%
17%
10%
85 95 10 +1
16 Mar. 2024
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 0
VfL Bochum
BOC
42%
25%
33%
85 83 2 0

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
KOL
Köln
0 - 2
Darmstadt 98
DAR
51%
24%
26%
85 80 5 0
13 Apr. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
Köln
KOL
82%
12%
6%
85 98 13 0
06 Apr. 2024
KOL
Köln
2 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
44%
25%
31%
85 83 2 0
31 Mar. 2024
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
40%
24%
36%
85 84 1 0
22 Mar. 2024
KOL
Köln
2 - 2
Breidablik
BRE
58%
22%
21%
85 75 10 0