Mainz 05 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
M05
1 - 1
MON
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 2
M05
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
M05
3 - 2
ARB
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
M05
4 - 1
AUG
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 1
M05
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 2
FCU
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 0
KOL
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
STU
0 - 2
KOL
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 2
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
HOF
5 - 0
KOL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |