Mainz 05 U19 vs Nürnberg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
4º
3º
18
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 21 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 10 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 8 |
8º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 4
MAI
15%
17%
68%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 3
HOF
27%
20%
53%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
MAI
25%
20%
55%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 1
KAR
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
MAI
12%
17%
71%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NUR
2 - 2
DAR
62%
18%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 2
NUR
18%
20%
62%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
NUR
1 - 5
HEI
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SDH
3 - 6
NUR
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
NUR
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |