Mainz 05 U19 vs Nürnberg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BYM
1 - 4
MAI
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 3
KAI
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
KAR
2 - 3
MAI
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
HOF
2 - 0
MAI
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 0
MUN
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 0
HOF
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 1
NUR
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NUR
0 - 1
STU
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 2
NUR
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 1
FRA
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |