Mainz 05 U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
4º
3º
35
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 21 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 10 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 8 |
8º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 2
FSV
83%
10%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 2
MAI
20%
19%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 0
NUR
72%
16%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 4
MAI
15%
17%
68%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 3
HOF
27%
20%
53%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 0
DAR
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
NUR
2 - 3
KAR
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
8 - 0
KOF
82%
12%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 3
KAR
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 3
KAR
37%
23%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |