Mainz 05 U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
26
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
MAI
9%
15%
77%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 2
FCB
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 2
ING
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
NUR
2 - 2
MAI
31%
21%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 1
MAI
49%
20%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
6 - 4
AUG
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ING
4 - 0
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SDH
2 - 2
GRE
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
STU
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
KAI
48%
21%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |