Mainz 05 U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
4º
3º
19
3º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 21 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 10 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 8 |
8º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 2
MAI
20%
19%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 0
NUR
72%
16%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 4
MAI
15%
17%
68%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 3
HOF
27%
20%
53%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
MAI
25%
20%
55%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FSV Frankfurt U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
0 - 3
FRA
17%
17%
66%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 2
FSV
60%
19%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 0
SMS
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +5 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FSV
2 - 1
KAR
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +4 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
HEI
3 - 0
FSV
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |