Mainz 05 U19 vs Freiburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 4
MAI
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
KAI
1 - 2
MAI
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MAI
3 - 0
WAL
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
MAI
3 - 2
FRA
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
KAR
3 - 0
MAI
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Freiburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 1
MUN
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
KAI
1 - 1
FRE
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
3 - 1
WAL
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
KAR
3 - 3
FRE
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 0
HOF
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |