Mainz 05 U19 vs FC Augsburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+131%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
5º
14
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 1
MCI
28%
22%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SDH
0 - 3
MAI
12%
16%
73%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
3 - 1
GRE
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
MAI
9%
15%
77%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 2
FCB
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 5
STU
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 3
SDH
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
6 - 4
AUG
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AUG
4 - 1
BYM
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +5 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
NUR
1 - 0
AUG
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |