Mainz 05 II vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SAA
0 - 3
MAI
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 0
SCH
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
ERF
1 - 1
MAI
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 3
WEH
31%
27%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MAI
3 - 2
FEU
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
VFR
5 - 2
STU
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PFU
2 - 0
VFR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
VFR
1 - 4
HOF
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
AUG
1 - 1
VFR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
VFR
0 - 1
ELV
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |