Mainz 05 II vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
UNT
1 - 2
MAI
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COT
2 - 1
MAI
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 2
STU
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ROS
2 - 1
MAI
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 0
BOR
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SGD
0 - 1
SGS
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
SGD
0 - 2
BVB
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SSV
2 - 3
SGD
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SGD
0 - 1
WEH
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 0
SGD
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |