Mainz 05 II vs Schalke 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
KAI
1 - 1
MAI
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 1
MAI
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
MAI
1 - 2
BOR
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
MAI
0 - 0
BOC
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAI
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
S04
0 - 1
BOC
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
S04
1 - 1
BOR
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
S04
0 - 2
PRE
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ROT
1 - 0
S04
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
S04
3 - 1
EIN
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |