Mainz 05 II vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PRE
0 - 4
MAI
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MAI
3 - 1
WWO
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CLO
0 - 3
MAI
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
MAI
1 - 0
EIN
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DIE
0 - 0
MAI
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
ROT
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 4
PRE
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WWO
1 - 0
ROT
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
5 - 3
CLO
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
BOC
2 - 1
ROT
22%
26%
53%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |