Mainz 05 II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HOL
3 - 0
MAI
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 2
WEH
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WER
2 - 1
MAI
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 0
MAG
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SGF
1 - 1
MAI
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ERF
0 - 1
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
OSN
3 - 0
ERF
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ERF
1 - 3
PAD
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ZWI
1 - 2
ERF
34%
26%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ERF
3 - 0
KÖL
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |