Mainz 05 II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WUR
1 - 0
MAI
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAI
3 - 1
STU
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SGS
0 - 3
MAI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MAI
2 - 3
PRE
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SGD
3 - 0
MAI
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ERZ
2 - 2
ERF
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ERF
1 - 0
WUR
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
STU
1 - 2
ERF
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ERF
0 - 2
SGS
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PRE
2 - 0
ERF
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |