Mainz 05 II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BSC
1 - 1
MAI
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAI
2 - 0
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VER
2 - 1
MAI
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MAI
0 - 4
SAA
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
S04
1 - 2
MAI
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DIE
0 - 3
BOC
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 0
DIE
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DIE
1 - 0
BOR
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
DIE
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DIE
1 - 1
PRE
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |