Mainz 05 II vs Hamm / Sieg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 1
MAI
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MAI
1 - 0
SAA
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 5
MAI
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MAI
1 - 0
HAL
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
IDA
1 - 0
MAI
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hamm / Sieg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
HAM
2 - 0
MAY
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
HAU
3 - 1
HAM
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
HAM
1 - 1
ING
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
EBK
1 - 0
HAM
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
HAM
3 - 2
WIR
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |