Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOM
2 - 3
MAI
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 0
OFC
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ZWE
0 - 1
MAI
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 0
SGS
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ULM
0 - 1
MAI
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 3
SGS
50%
24%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ULM
1 - 3
FRE
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAU
1 - 4
FRE
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
PFU
1 - 2
FRE
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |