Mainz 05 II vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 1
EIN
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
KAI
2 - 0
MAI
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 1
MAI
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 0
SGS
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 1
BAY
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FRE
4 - 1
ESC
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 0
PFU
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
HOF
0 - 0
FRE
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
ULM
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
SGS
5 - 0
FRE
59%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |